Publications

Journal articles (peer-reviewed)

in press

Bleckmann, E., Nestler, S. & Wagner, J. (in press). Routes to momentary self-esteem in adolescence: Links with interpersonal perceptions of liking and personality metaperceptions within social interactions. Journal of Personality.

Forthmann, B., & Nestler, S. (in press). Latent variable modeling of scientific impact: Estimation of the Q model parameters with structural equation models. Quantitative Science Studies.

Humberg, S., Kuper, N., Rentzsch, K., Gerlach, T. M., Back, M. D., & Nestler, S. (in press). Investigating the effects of congruence between within-person associations: A comparison of two extensions of response surface analysis. Psychological Methods.

Nestler, S., & Salditt, M. (in press). Comparing type 1 and type 2 error rates of different tests for heterogeneous treatment effects. Behavior Research Methods.

Salditt, M., Eckes, T., & Nestler, S. (in press). A tutorial introduction to heterogeneous treatment effect estimation with meta-learners. Administration and Policy in Mental Health and Mental Health Services Research.

Scharbert, J., Dein, L. M., Kroencke, L., Nestler, S., Back, M. D., & Geukes, K. (in press). Narcissus’ affective well-being: Associations between grandiose narcissism and state affect level and variability. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology.

Ulitzsch, E., Nestler, S., Lüdtke, O. & Nagy, G. (in press). A screen-time-based mixture model for identifying and monitoring careless and insufficient effort responding in ecological momentary assessment data. Psychological Methods.

2024

Blöchl, M., Schaare, H. L., Kumral, D., Gaebler, M., Nestler, S. & Villringer, A. (2024). Vascular risk factors, white matter microstructure, and depressive symptoms: A mediation analyses using the UK Biobank. Psychological Medicine, 54, 125-135.

Eckes, T. & Nestler, S. (2024). Do I like me now? An analysis of everyday sudden gains and sudden losses in self-esteem and nervousness. Clinical Psychological Science, 12, 22-36.

Kunzmann, U., Nestler, S., Lücke, A., Katzorreck, M., Hoppmann, C. A., Wahl, H.-W., Schilling, O., & Gerstorf, D. (2024). Three facets of emotion regulation in old and very old age: Strategy use, effectiveness, and variability. Emotion, 24, 316-328.

Nestler, S. (2024). A mixed-effects model in which the parameters of the autocorrelated error structure can differ between individuals. Multivariate Behavioral Research, 59, 98-109.

Nestler, S., & Humberg, S. (2024). Univariate autoregressive structural equation models as mixed-effects models. Structural Equation Modeling: A Multidisciplinary Journal, 31, 357-366.

Nestler, S., & Blozis, S. A. (2024). A latent variable mixed-effects location scale model that also considers between-person differences in the autocorrelation. Statistics in Medicine, 43, 89-101.

2023

Meuer, M., Nestler, S., & Oeberst, A. (2023). What determines hindsight bias in written work? One field and three experimental studies in the context of Wikipedia. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 29,239-258.

Mota, S., Mielke, I., Kroencke, L., Geukes, K., Nestler, S., & Back, M. D. (2023). Daily dynamics of grandiose narcissism: Distribution, stability, and trait relations of admiration and rivalry states and state contingencies. European Journal of Personality, 37, 207-222.

Nestler, S., & Erdfelder, E. (2023). Random effects multinomial processing tree models: A maximum likelihood approach. Psychometrika, 88, 809-829.

Romankiewicz, L., Schaare, H. L., Nestler, S., Villringer, A., & Blöchl, M. (in press). Mediation of the association between vascular risk factors and depressive symptoms by C-Reactive Protein. Biological Psychiatry: Global Open Science, 3, 642-650.

Salditt, M., Humberg, S., & Nestler, S. (2023). Gradient tree boosting for hierarchical data. Multivariate Behavioral Research, 58, 911-937.

Salditt, M., & Nestler, S. (2023). Parametric and nonparametric propensity score estimation in multilevel observational studies. Statistics in Medicine, 42, 4147-4176.

Schauf, T., Dufner, M., Nestler, S., & Rau, R. (2023). Do agency and communion explain the relationship between perceiver and target effects in interpersonal perception? A meta-analysis on generalized reciprocity. Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 49, 1479-1494.

Schyns, B., Gauglitz, I. K., Veestraeten, M., Nestler , S., & Bonnefous, A.-M. (2023). When does charm turn sour in early career working relationships? The relationship between narcissism and Leader-Member and Member-Member Exchange. Cadernos EBAPE.BR, 21, e2023-0058.

Selected earlier publications (before 2023; see CV for a list of all publications)

Blöchl, M., & Nestler, S. (2022). Long-term changes in depressive symptoms before and after stroke. Neurology, 99, e720-e729.

Blöchl, M., Nestler, S., & Weiss, D. (2021). A limit of the subjective age bias: Feeling younger to a certain degree, but no more, is beneficial for life satisfaction. Psychology and Aging, 36, 360-372.

Geukes, K., Nestler, S., Hutteman, R., Dufner, M., Küfner, A. C. P., Egloff, B., Denissen, J. J. A., & Back, M. D. (2017). Puffed up but shaky selves: State self-esteem level and variability in narcissists. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 112, 769-786.

Humberg, S., Dufner M., Schönbrodt, F., Geukes, K., Hutteman, R., Küfner, A. C. P., van Zalk, M., Denissen, J. J. A., Nestler, S., & Back M. D. (2019). Is accurate, positive, or inflated self-perception most advantageous for psychological adjustment? A competitive test of key hypotheses. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 116, 835-859.

Humberg, S. C., Dufner M., Schönbrodt, F., Geukes, K., Hutteman, R., Van Zalk, M., Denissen, J. J. A., Nestler, S., & Back M. D. (2018). Enhanced versus simply positive: A new condition-based regression analysis to disentangle effects of self-enhancement from effects of positivity of self-view. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 114, 303-322.

Humberg, S., Nestler, S., & Back, M. D. (2019). Response Surface Analysis in personality and social psychology: Checklist and clarifications for the case of congruence hypotheses. Social Psychological and Personality Science, 10, 409-419.

Humberg, S., Schönbrodt, F. D., Back, M. D., & Nestler, S. (2022). Cubic response surface analysis: Investigating asymmetric and level-dependent congruence effects with third-order polynomial models. Psychological Methods, 27, 622-649.

Meuer, M., von der Beck, I., Nestler, S., & Oeberst, A. (2021). What drives increases in hindsight impressions after the reception of biased media content? Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 27, 461–472.

Mund, M., & Nestler, S. (2019). Beyond the cross-lagged panel model: Next-generation statistical tools for analyzing interdependencies across the life course. Advances in Life Course Research, 41, 100249.

Nestler, S. (2013). A Monte Carlo study comparing PIV, ULS, and DWLS in the estimation of dichotomous confirmatory factor analysis. British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology, 66, 127-143.

Nestler, S. (2014). How the 2SLS/IV Estimator can handle equality constraints in structural equation models: A system-of-equations approach. British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology, 67, 353-369.

Nestler, S. (2016). Restricted maximum likelihood estimation for parameters of the social relations model. Psychometrika, 81, 1098-1117.

Nestler, S. (2018). Likelihood estimation of the multivariate social relations model. Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 43, 387-406.

Nestler, S. (2020). Modeling interindividual differences in latent within-person variation: The confirmatory factor level variability model. British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology, 73, 452-473.

Nestler, S. (2021). Modeling intraindividual variability in growth with measurement burst designs. Structural Equation Modeling: A Multidisciplinary Journal, 28, 28-39.

Nestler, S. (2022). An extension of the mixed-effects growth model that considers between-person differences in the within-subject variance and the autocorrelation. Statistics in Medicine, 41, 471-482.

Nestler, S., & Back, M. D. (2017). Using cross-classified structural equations models to examine the accuracy of personality judgments. Psychometrika, 82, 475–497.

Nestler, S., Blank, H., & v. Collani, G. (2008). Hindsight bias and causal attribution: A causal model theory of creeping determinism. Social Psychology, 39, 182-188.

Nestler, S., Geukes, K., Hutteman, R., & Back, M. D. (2017). Tackling longitudinal round-robin data: The social relations growth model. Psychometrika, 82, 1162-1181.

Nestler, S., Grimm, K. J., & Schönbrodt, F. D. (2015). The social consequences and mechanisms of personality: How to analyse longitudinal data from individual, dyadic, round-robin, and network designs. European Journal of Personality, 29, 272-295.

Nestler, S. & Humberg, S. (2022). A Lasso and a regression tree mixed-effect model with random effects for the level, the residual variance, and the autocorrelation. Psychometrika, 87, 506-532.

Nestler, S., Humberg, S., & Schönbrodt, F. D. (2019). Response surface analysis with multilevel data: Illustration for the case of congruence hypotheses. Psychological Methods, 24, 291-308.

Nestler, S., Luedtke, O., & Robitzsch, A. (2020). Maximum likelihood estimation of a social relations structural equation model. Psychometrika, 85, 870-889.

Nestler, S., Luedtke, O., & Robitzsch, A. (2022). Analyzing longitudinal social relations model data using the social relations structural equation model. Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 47, 231-260.

Rau, R., Carlson, E. N., Back, M. D., Barranti, M., Gebauer, J. E., Human, L. J., Leising, D., & Nestler, S. (2021). What is the structure of perceiver effects? On the importance of global positivity and trait-specificity across personality domains and judgment contexts. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 120, 745-764.

Scharf, F., & Nestler, S. (2019). Should regularization replace simple structure rotation in Exploratory Factor Analysis? Structural Equation Modeling: A Multidisciplinary Journal, 26, 576-590.

Ulitzsch, E. & Nestler, S. (2022). Evaluating Stan's Variational Bayes algorithm for estimating multidimensional IRT models. Psych, 4, 73-88.

Book chapters (selection)

Back, M. D., & Nestler, S., (2016). Accuracy of Judging Personality. In J. A. Hall, M., Schmid Mast, & T. V., West (Eds.), The social psychology of perceiving others accurately (pp. 98-124). Cambridge University Press.

Oeberst, A., Cress, U., Back, M. D., & Nestler, S. (2016). Individual versus collaborative information processing: The case of biases in Wikipedia. In U. Cress, H. Jeong, & J. Moskaliuk (Eds.), Mass collaboration and Education (pp. 165-185). Cham, Switzerland: Springer International Publishing.

von der Beck, I., Oeberst, A., Cress, U., Back, M. D., & Nestler, S. (2015). Hätte die Geschichte auch anders verlaufen können? Der Rückschaufehler zu Ereignissen in Wikipedia. In T. Wozniak, U. Rohwedder & J., Nemitz (Hrsg.), Wikipedia und Geschichtswissenschaft (S. 155-174). Oldenbourg: DeGruyter.