Publications

Journal articles (peer-reviewed)

in press

Bhomwik, C., Back, M., Nestler, S., & Schrader, F.-W. (in press). Appearing smart, confident and motivated: A lens model approach to judgment accuracy in an educational setting. Social Psychology of Education.

Bögemann, N. J., Harris, L., & Nestler, S. (in press).  A question of perspective: Target- vs. perceiver-specific dimensions of mind perception. Cognition.

Humberg, S., Kuper, N., Rentzsch, K., Gerlach, T. M., Back, M. D., & Nestler, S. (in press). Investigating the effects of congruence between within-person associations: A comparison of two extensions of response surface analysis. Psychological Methods.

Humberg, S., Schönbrodt, F., & Nestler, S. (in press). Improving the probability of reaching correct conclusions about congruence hypotheses: Integrating statistical equivalence testing into response surface analysis. Psychological Methods.

Kunzmann, U., Nestler, S., Katzorreck-Gierden, M., Gerstorf, D., & Wrosch, C. (in press). Speaking about flexibility: Age differences in the variability and situational sensitivity of emotion regulation strategies. Emotion.

Nestler, S. (in press). Estimating multilevel structural equation models with random slopes with Laplace and Variational approximations. Structural Equation Modeling: A Multidisciplinary Journal.

Ulitzsch, E., Nestler, S., Lüdtke, O. & Nagy, G. (in press). A screen-time-based mixture model for identifying and monitoring careless and insufficient effort responding in ecological momentary assessment data. Psychological Methods.

2025

Blanke, E. S., Krämer, S., Loy, L. S., Müller-Liebmann, C., Nestler, S., & Kunzmann, U. (2025). Beyond individual stress reduction: The mindful students program benefits university students and their environment. Mindfulness, 16, 864–883.

Eckes, T., & Nestler, S. (2025). I’m changing and I know it? - A daily diary study concerning people’s ability to identify sudden gains and losses. Journal of Psychopathology and Behavioral Assessment, 76.

Jansen, K., & Nestler, S. (2025). Correcting for differences in measurement unreliability in meta-analysis of variances. Multivariate Behavioral Research, 60, 711-730.

Nestler, S., Robitzsch, A., & Luedtke, O. (2025). Fitting single- and multiple-indicator STARTS models as Dynamic Structural Equation Models. Structural Equation Modeling: A Multidisciplinary Journal, 32, 529-540.

Ulitzsch, E., Viechtbauer, W., Lüdtke, O., Myin-Germeys, I., Nagy, G., Nestler, S., & Eisele, G. V. (2025). Investigating the effect of experience sampling study design on careless and insufficient effort responding identified with a screen-time-based mixture model. Psychological Assessment, 37, 347-359.

Selected earlier publications (before 2025; see CV for a list of all publications)

Blöchl, M., Nestler, S., & Weiss, D. (2021). A limit of the subjective age bias: Feeling younger to a certain degree, but no more, is beneficial for life satisfaction. Psychology and Aging, 36, 360-372.

Eckes, T., Salditt, M., & Nestler, S. (2024). Living up to expectations? A simulation study evaluating methods used to detect sudden gains and sudden losses. Psychological Assessment, 36, 691-705.

Humberg, S., Dufner M., Schönbrodt, F., Geukes, K., Hutteman, R., Küfner, A. C. P., van Zalk, M., Denissen, J. J. A., Nestler, S., & Back M. D. (2019). Is accurate, positive, or inflated self-perception most advantageous for psychological adjustment? A competitive test of key hypotheses. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 116, 835-859.

Humberg, S. C., Dufner M., Schönbrodt, F., Geukes, K., Hutteman, R., Van Zalk, M., Denissen, J. J. A., Nestler, S., & Back M. D. (2018). Enhanced versus simply positive: A new condition-based regression analysis to disentangle effects of self-enhancement from effects of positivity of self-view. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 114, 303-322.

Humberg, S., Nestler, S., & Back, M. D. (2019). Response Surface Analysis in personality and social psychology: Checklist and clarifications for the case of congruence hypotheses. Social Psychological and Personality Science, 10, 409-419.

Humberg, S., Schönbrodt, F. D., Back, M. D., & Nestler, S. (2022). Cubic response surface analysis: Investigating asymmetric and level-dependent congruence effects with third-order polynomial models. Psychological Methods, 27, 622-649.

Mund, M., & Nestler, S. (2019). Beyond the cross-lagged panel model: Next-generation statistical tools for analyzing interdependencies across the life course. Advances in Life Course Research, 41, 100249.

Nestler, S. (2014). How the 2SLS/IV Estimator can handle equality constraints in structural equation models: A system-of-equations approach. British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology, 67, 353-369.

Nestler, S. (2016). Restricted maximum likelihood estimation for parameters of the social relations model. Psychometrika, 81, 1098-1117.

Nestler, S. (2018). Likelihood estimation of the multivariate social relations model. Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 43, 387-406.

Nestler, S. (2020). Modeling interindividual differences in latent within-person variation: The confirmatory factor level variability model. British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology, 73, 452-473.

Nestler, S. (2021). Modeling intraindividual variability in growth with measurement burst designs. Structural Equation Modeling: A Multidisciplinary Journal, 28, 28-39.

Nestler, S. (2022). An extension of the mixed-effects growth model that considers between-person differences in the within-subject variance and the autocorrelation. Statistics in Medicine, 41, 471-482.

Nestler, S., & Back, M. D. (2017). Using cross-classified structural equations models to examine the accuracy of personality judgments. Psychometrika, 82, 475–497.

Nestler, S., Blank, H., & v. Collani, G. (2008). Hindsight bias and causal attribution: A causal model theory of creeping determinism. Social Psychology, 39, 182-188.

Nestler, S., & Erdfelder, E. (2023). Random effects multinomial processing tree models: A maximum likelihood approach. Psychometrika, 88, 809-829.

Nestler, S., & Humberg, S. (2024). Univariate autoregressive structural equation models as mixed-effects models. Structural Equation Modeling: A Multidisciplinary Journal, 31, 357-366.

Nestler, S., Geukes, K., Hutteman, R., & Back, M. D. (2017). Tackling longitudinal round-robin data: The social relations growth model. Psychometrika, 82, 1162-1181.

Nestler, S. & Humberg, S. (2022). A Lasso and a regression tree mixed-effect model with random effects for the level, the residual variance, and the autocorrelation. Psychometrika, 87, 506-532.

Nestler, S., Humberg, S., & Schönbrodt, F. D. (2019). Response surface analysis with multilevel data: Illustration for the case of congruence hypotheses. Psychological Methods, 24, 291-308.

Nestler, S., Lüdtke, O., & Robitzsch, A. (2020). Maximum likelihood estimation of a social relations structural equation model. Psychometrika, 85, 870-889.

Rau, R., Carlson, E. N., Back, M. D., Barranti, M., Gebauer, J. E., Human, L. J., Leising, D., & Nestler, S. (2021). What is the structure of perceiver effects? On the importance of global positivity and trait-specificity across personality domains and judgment contexts. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 120, 745-764.

Salditt, M., Humberg, S., & Nestler, S. (2023). Gradient tree boosting for hierarchical data. Multivariate Behavioral Research, 58, 911-937.

Scharf, F., & Nestler, S. (2019). Should regularization replace simple structure rotation in Exploratory Factor Analysis? Structural Equation Modeling: A Multidisciplinary Journal, 26, 576-590.

Book chapters (selection)

Back, M. D., & Nestler, S., (2016). Accuracy of Judging Personality. In J. A. Hall, M., Schmid Mast, & T. V., West (Eds.), The social psychology of perceiving others accurately (pp. 98-124). Cambridge University Press.

Oeberst, A., Cress, U., Back, M. D., & Nestler, S. (2016). Individual versus collaborative information processing: The case of biases in Wikipedia. In U. Cress, H. Jeong, & J. Moskaliuk (Eds.), Mass collaboration and Education (pp. 165-185). Cham, Switzerland: Springer International Publishing.

von der Beck, I., Oeberst, A., Cress, U., Back, M. D., & Nestler, S. (2015). Hätte die Geschichte auch anders verlaufen können? Der Rückschaufehler zu Ereignissen in Wikipedia. In T. Wozniak, U. Rohwedder & J., Nemitz (Hrsg.), Wikipedia und Geschichtswissenschaft (S. 155-174). Oldenbourg: DeGruyter.